South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd434fbc3d3565894c880fe5e0bc117e2ebf7116172680b125301e6955198008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 5,659$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 3,674$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.69 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 24c | 3,046$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,827$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 1,297$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 798$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 14c | 732.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 712.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 458$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 22c | 454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 78c | 399.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 385.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d990backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 7c | 289.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 22c | 259.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 236.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 215$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 77c | 187.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 154.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 79c | 154.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 24c | 146.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…6b8dbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3e…8ee6backed Yes | 29c | 120.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 104.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 12c | 93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9b…7ed3backed Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 74.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 20c | 74.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 72.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 19c | 71.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 75c | 66.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ad…9241backed Yes | 22c | 61.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 26c | 56.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 20c | 55.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 71c | 51.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 76c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…ec40backed No | 75c | 30.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-19?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.