Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7480d65e4242fc6c772e4b62e4a3496754e588f36d18df035df7c281b5f7f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 1,013$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.27 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 908.04$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 853.33$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 488$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 39c | 360.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 310.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 254.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 158.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Over | 60c | 137.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 59c | 103.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 58c | 96.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 79.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 34.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…ed3cbacked Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 40c | 26.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.