Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031fcef9bb908e285bb74c7765756f11035ae1e07d43f4fe0b5d05a2eaffae12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVS Futebolof FC Porto, AVS Futebol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed FC Porto | 44c | 21,313$9,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,441.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AVS Futebol | 61c | 9,448$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVS Futebol | 55c | 6,636$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked AVS Futebol | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Porto | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Porto | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed AVS Futebol | 54c | 1,020$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.9 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVS Futebol | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed AVS Futebol | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed AVS Futebol | 51c | 884.47$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.33 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed FC Porto | 55c | 792.96$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.28 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed FC Porto | 31c | 678.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AVS Futebol | 45c | 511.88$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked AVS Futebol | 47c | 505.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Porto | 51c | 462.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed AVS Futebol | 49c | 307.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AVS Futebol | 54c | 303.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed AVS Futebol | 51c | 296.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Porto | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Porto | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Porto | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FC Porto | 56c | 219.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked AVS Futebol | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed AVS Futebol | 50c | 198.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Porto | 16c | 167.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked AVS Futebol | 53c | 160.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed AVS Futebol | 44c | 154.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked AVS Futebol | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed AVS Futebol | 52c | 109.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked AVS Futebol | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FC Porto | 56c | 105.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed AVS Futebol | 42c | 101.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked FC Porto | 58c | 100.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed AVS Futebol | 45c | 81.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked FC Porto | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed FC Porto | 19c | 69.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 68.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked AVS Futebol | 49c | 49.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AVS Futebol | 74c | 49.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed AVS Futebol | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed AVS Futebol | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed AVS Futebol | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed FC Porto | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed AVS Futebol | 66c | 28.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AVS Futebol | 76c | 27.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Porto | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FC Porto | 58c | 24.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed AVS Futebol | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed FC Porto | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed AVS Futebol | 57c | 17.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed FC Porto | 58c | 17.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed AVS Futebol | 68c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.