Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a5d8dd921f5f1a118e6b6921b5e3ac9dd11299e36a95c3437869ae43c5cc96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,911$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 27c | 3,892$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.77 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,061$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 991.52$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 69c | 455.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 64c | 404.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 343.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 340.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 299.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 183.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 107.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 107.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 73.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 27c | 67.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 73c | 66.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 29c | 52.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 50.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 50.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under | 29c | 48.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Over | 71c | 48.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…2035backed Under | 26c | 38.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Over | 68c | 35.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…ed3cbacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 70c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 70c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 74c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.