Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21cd90b5837bfeedbe18be7601384af626890b03d0dbe1d5de4904a27ea967cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 4,029$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.05 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 56c | 2,270$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 41c | 1,742$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.98 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,074$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 35c | 923.98$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 887.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 60c | 790.82$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 32c | 763.22$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 598.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 576.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 229.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 65c | 220.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 43c | 215.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 210$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 188.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 33c | 181.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 162.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 51c | 162.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 153$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes | 47c | 150.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 59c | 140.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 15c | 134.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 64c | 134$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 121.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 117.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 113.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 63c | 100.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 60c | 94.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 89.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 81.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 53c | 53.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 61c | 46.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 61c | 46.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 38c | 44.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 45c | 43.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 61c | 38.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 38.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed No | 44c | 27.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Yes | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. NK Bravo end in a draw?No won
- Will NK Bravo win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.