NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bdd3de4a792b2d68260b43553975409230896c5a0d1a9ca48bd5d84c7f5ae5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Oilers, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 41c | 16,970$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,958.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bruins | 59c | 16,038$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.05 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bruins | 59c | 5,778$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.01 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…1002backed Bruins | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 59c | 1,553$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 41c | 1,298$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bruins | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Oilers | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Oilers | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Oilers | 40c | 486.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Oilers | 42c | 380.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Oilers | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 59c | 282.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Oilers | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Oilers | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 23c | 153$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Bruins | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Oilers | 40c | 101.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Oilers | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Oilers | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Bruins | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oilers | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Oilers | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Oilers | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Bruins | 60c | 70.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Oilers | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Oilers | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Oilers | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Bruins | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Oilers | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Oilers | 40c | 36.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Oilers | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 39c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Oilers | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Bruins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oilers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Oilers | 41c | 28.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Bruins | 59c | 28.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Oilers | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Oilers | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Bruins | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruins | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. OilersBruins won
- Bruins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.