NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e4272de7a504a08b06bd84a59c00bf35fd84f9afa2edca8d2a0cf77920ee52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 1c | 13,760$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 39c | 3,960$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 1,935$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.87 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 70c | 1,634$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,105$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 50c | 929.54$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.07 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 740.71$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 3c | 730.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 704.26$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 61c | 610$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under | 45c | 476.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 357.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 313.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 44c | 286.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 41c | 227.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 61c | 208.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 201.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 17c | 165.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 73c | 159.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 43c | 116.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 49c | 113.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 51c | 102.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 58c | 77.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…df0abacked Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbc…af46backed Under | 53c | 67.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 48c | 63.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 72c | 62.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under | 45c | 51.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 45c | 50.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…e185backed Over | 66c | 33.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 68c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. OilersBruins won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.