Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17725202b0f981df0a8204c800c13807718c3850b71b8f8ee2bf989a7f511c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 52c | 4,470$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 52c | 4,273$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 456.39$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 48cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 45c | 107.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over | 57c | 43.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Over | 52c | 42.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…7850backed Over | 52c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 52c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.