Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98acfde57ec1376e3b425efd21c5745ee83dc5a1d5cbb82e41adc91e1fa7cba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 55c | 2,106$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.25 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 48c | 1,467$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 49c | 633.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 604.62$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 534.15$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 504.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 276.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 276.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 56c | 263.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…191abacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 139.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Over | 53c | 91.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 55c | 88.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…51a2backed Over | 52c | 81.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Over | 52c | 74.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 71.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…b314backed Under | 49c | 59.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf506…4d8fbacked Over | 54c | 41.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…dd15backed Over | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…39f2backed Under | 49c | 39.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6559…6eb9backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9f6fbacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 52c | 32.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.