TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6559…6eb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$35.76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$65.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$26.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.