TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c2,602$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.4893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c1,780$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No5c1,685$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No5c1,616$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.572,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No58c1,105$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Yes78c924.27$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9519158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Yes41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5313450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No18c878.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0151429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c837.93$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.0335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c809.65$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.071,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c754.71$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No61c645.29$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes40c599.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes39c500.1$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.061,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No14c483.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.120250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No11c407.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No6c313.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b87…02b6backed Yes39c297.95$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Yes43c290.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.471827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c257.82$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No59c244.72$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.891,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No13c237.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5627145.8%124 W · 147 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed No60c221$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed No25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+344.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes40c172.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7316937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c166.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe14…d463backed Yes42c162.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.493948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c154.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.553,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Yes42c154.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.515345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes39c149.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes74c135.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8240145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked No59c129$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.112227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No10c105.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c101.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.092,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3813231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.915738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c82.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked No18c74.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4170948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes67c74.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.974341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No15c71.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9948438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes42c70.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.592556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes74c69.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9815655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes48c67.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.031,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Yes39c63.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.784156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c62.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.491,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No23c61.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5345740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No60c57.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3918764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No61c54.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes78c51.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.234856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309046.7%42 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes39c49.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.418345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes42c47.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.449749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes69c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.129439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes70c44.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2339648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb563…7465backed Yes72c40.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc4…9782backed Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529b…f003backed Yes74c36.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No60c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67844.9%35 W · 43 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No59c34.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7930751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44c…48a4backed No59c34.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes42c33.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.376749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e6…e5c7backed Yes72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.437348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.325948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b4…2329backed Yes40c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes74c29.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.585578.2%43 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes69c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0627767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes70c28.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.619863.3%62 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9339746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc2d…76febacked Yes72c27.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6559…6eb9backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No58c22.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.014738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes79c21.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.581485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1511761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Yes74c20.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.545680.4%45 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5511552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6819856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No61c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2486656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Yes77c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.395563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No62c19.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b7…04b2backed No60c16.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010251%52 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No64c16.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810248%49 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.