TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, YFP Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked YFP Gaming37c18,308$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.1819046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked SaD Esports42c9,376$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,394.4613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed SaD Esports67c6,866$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.6152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed SaD Esports62c4,223$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.713043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed SaD Esports52c3,242$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.132347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed SaD Esports50c2,719$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.0723151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked YFP Gaming53c2,523$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed YFP Gaming50c2,446$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.888934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed SaD Esports40c2,001$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed YFP Gaming49c1,575$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.8144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked SaD Esports48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked YFP Gaming49c970$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.32356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed YFP Gaming34c927.31$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.6731634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed YFP Gaming49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed YFP Gaming50c886$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked YFP Gaming35c869$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.21,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked YFP Gaming53c865.5$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked YFP Gaming52c823.14$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.187550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed YFP Gaming50c802.5$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-68.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed YFP Gaming52c795.27$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4157342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked YFP Gaming31c599.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked YFP Gaming50c546.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.710844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed YFP Gaming31c518.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.151,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed YFP Gaming53c511.97$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2615843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed SaD Esports71c500.08$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed YFP Gaming25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed SaD Esports40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed YFP Gaming48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked YFP Gaming48c479$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.922619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed YFP Gaming29c437.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9642540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked YFP Gaming48c435.78$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.172552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked SaD Esports44c435$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.754560%27 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed YFP Gaming49c410.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed YFP Gaming36c403.4$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9719337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed YFP Gaming37c390$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.72646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed YFP Gaming50c362.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked YFP Gaming42c362$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2831046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked YFP Gaming50c337.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked SaD Esports41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17786747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed YFP Gaming52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed YFP Gaming53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed YFP Gaming17c262.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed YFP Gaming48c256.82$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.55147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed SaD Esports79c252.01$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed YFP Gaming48c248.04$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.065034%17 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked SaD Esports39c245$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4514533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7f…7603backed YFP Gaming52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed SaD Esports48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5812149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed SaD Esports62c208.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.673641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed YFP Gaming35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed YFP Gaming48c195.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.749551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed SaD Esports40c186.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6541537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed YFP Gaming27c185.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked YFP Gaming58c179.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0734443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed YFP Gaming35c169.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.257534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed SaD Esports50c169.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.618948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed YFP Gaming49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.327540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed SaD Esports48c165.34$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.263652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked YFP Gaming55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.118651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked YFP Gaming49c157.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.028736.8%32 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed YFP Gaming48c150.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.198646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed SaD Esports75c143.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.927947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked SaD Esports40c142.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.464957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed SaD Esports48c142.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8528548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SaD Esports64c135.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked SaD Esports44c134.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2915842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed YFP Gaming50c131.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed YFP Gaming38c126$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed SaD Esports75c124.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f56…b78ebacked YFP Gaming50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked YFP Gaming49c103$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.471,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…1c1dbacked SaD Esports52c101.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed SaD Esports42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5810664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked YFP Gaming35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed SaD Esports47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312157%69 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed YFP Gaming35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed YFP Gaming48c97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5613848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked YFP Gaming41c94.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed SaD Esports45c91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0523055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked YFP Gaming44c88.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.91,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed SaD Esports49c88.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c1…e0ffbacked YFP Gaming44c87.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed SaD Esports48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3313243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SaD Esports75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d0b8backed YFP Gaming51c79.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed YFP Gaming51c72.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.151020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed YFP Gaming46c72.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7727145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed YFP Gaming30c66.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.025831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed SaD Esports78c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.944168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed YFP Gaming22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.932261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked YFP Gaming37c58.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9814729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked SaD Esports75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3310975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed SaD Esports42c52.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3120248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked YFP Gaming35c50.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.847143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed YFP Gaming50c50.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0116041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed SaD Esports50c49.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.456750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked YFP Gaming49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked SaD Esports65c44.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.742263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked YFP Gaming51c43.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.968043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed SaD Esports45c41.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6925554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.