Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f514d2c5eb414ee8a82b2860843b330d7d71e5ae3819865b79035c67a947a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Rwanda, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Rwanda | 0c | 11,976$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Rwanda | 26c | 1,995$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.88 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rwanda | 42c | 1,855$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.69 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Brazil | 18c | 969.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.41 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Rwanda | 76c | 797.07$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Rwanda | 74c | 697.47$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Brazil | 50c | 654.94$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Brazil | 68c | 600.41$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rwanda | 35c | 569.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Brazil | 60c | 510$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Rwanda | 79c | 392.77$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.83 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Brazil | 37c | 320.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Brazil | 27c | 300.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil | 63c | 295$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Rwanda | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brazil | 77c | 244$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Rwanda | 79c | 238.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Rwanda | 35c | 228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Brazil | 16c | 227$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rwanda | 38c | 212.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brazil | 73c | 210.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…65ccbacked Brazil | 49c | 205.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…bbdcbacked Rwanda | 76c | 202.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Rwanda | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rwanda | 38c | 194.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…6270backed Rwanda | 64c | 181.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 52c | 178.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brazil | 65c | 178.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Brazil | 28c | 175.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rwanda | 30c | 146.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Rwanda | 36c | 142.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Brazil | 23c | 135$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Rwanda | 79c | 126.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Rwanda | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Rwanda | 73c | 96.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Brazil | 21c | 94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Rwanda | 72c | 87.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Brazil | 28c | 86.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Rwanda | 67c | 83.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Brazil | 64c | 82.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked Rwanda | 73c | 77.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Rwanda | 40c | 72.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Brazil | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Rwanda | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Brazil | 33c | 51.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Brazil | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Rwanda | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Brazil | 45c | 44.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rwanda | 53c | 44.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Brazil | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Rwanda | 65c | 39.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rwanda | 42c | 32.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 110 | 6.4%7 W · 103 L | -18.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rwanda | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…03dcbacked Brazil | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…4602backed Rwanda | 73c | 30.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Rwanda | 37c | 30.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Brazil | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Rwanda | 74c | 21.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Rwanda | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Rwanda | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…85d7backed Rwanda | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.