Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6a7abca1f0e89c7550d8ffcade42704a0acf0feadc91c9da34ac3b6b713c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 1,596$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.71 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 1,292$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 4c | 749.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 642.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 567.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 467.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 308$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 259.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 248.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 5c | 224.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 32c | 194.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 190.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 151.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 16c | 124.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 84.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 60.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 46.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 38.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 36.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 68c | 33.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…cb37backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 26.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.