College Football · resolved market
San Diego State vs. Washington State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b0c01c7b3daceeb1a91d323bcd30052b2e66add1ea4f4aaef2f141e80278bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof San Diego State, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Washington State | 53c | 26,557$14,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.72 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked San Diego State | 43c | 24,715$10,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,604.87 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed San Diego State | 44c | 17,728$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800.49 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State | 61c | 12,646$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Washington State | 64c | 9,260$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Washington State | 60c | 6,364$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.61 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed San Diego State | 38c | 5,800$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego State | 33c | 3,845$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.11 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed San Diego State | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed San Diego State | 2c | 2,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed San Diego State | 33c | 2,550$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.71 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Washington State | 57c | 2,000$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington State | 59c | 1,612$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.08 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Washington State | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.06 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Washington State | 54c | 1,306$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Washington State | 63c | 1,300$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.59 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked San Diego State | 46c | 1,297$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.81 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Washington State | 54c | 1,295$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.7 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Washington State | 61c | 1,288$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Washington State | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Diego State | 46c | 938.69$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.33 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed San Diego State | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego State | 46c | 875.78$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.86 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed San Diego State | 16c | 631.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington State | 61c | 564.53$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked San Diego State | 2c | 510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed San Diego State | 47c | 494.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego State | 35c | 467$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed San Diego State | 46c | 436.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego State | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Washington State | 61c | 420.75$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Washington State | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Washington State | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Washington State | 61c | 336$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego State | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed San Diego State | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked San Diego State | 34c | 238.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Diego State | 45c | 236.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Washington State | 55c | 204.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Diego State | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Washington State | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Washington State | 46c | 192.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington State | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington State | 59c | 157.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Washington State | 69c | 152.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Washington State | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed San Diego State | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Washington State | 53c | 119.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Washington State | 76c | 116.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Washington State | 54c | 108.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed Washington State | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Diego State | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed San Diego State | 47c | 105.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Diego State | 43c | 103.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked San Diego State | 38c | 101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…3249backed Washington State | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Washington State | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed San Diego State | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…de7abacked San Diego State | 47c | 85.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…cc6fbacked Washington State | 54c | 84.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State | 52c | 73.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…08d7backed San Diego State | 48c | 69.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…e68bbacked Washington State | 54c | 68.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed San Diego State | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…954abacked Washington State | 54c | 66.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…0a9fbacked San Diego State | 48c | 65.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked San Diego State | 46c | 62.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d967backed Washington State | 73c | 54.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Washington State | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed San Diego State | 47c | 49.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Washington State | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Washington State | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked San Diego State | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked San Diego State | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…d13cbacked Washington State | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Washington State | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State vs. Washington Statethis page
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.