NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a6b234c38988fa12fbe10ce8a255bf2eec249ee707f163e145fb26981726e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knightsof Mammoth, Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Mammoth | 47c | 1,641$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Mammoth | 32c | 1,411$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.58 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Knights | 61c | 1,086$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.83 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Knights | 62c | 1,066$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Mammoth | 49c | 687.4$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Mammoth | 9c | 635$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Mammoth | 25c | 632.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knights | 59c | 610.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mammoth | 36c | 515.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…03c6backed Knights | 40c | 491.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Mammoth | 21c | 454.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Knights | 75c | 452.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Mammoth | 40c | 404.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Knights | 64c | 385.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a1…4739backed Knights | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mammoth | 32c | 314.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Knights | 43c | 307.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Knights | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Knights | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…29f1backed Knights | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mammoth | 39c | 206.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Mammoth | 37c | 190.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Mammoth | 39c | 187.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Knights | 60c | 178.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…0cccbacked Knights | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…7094backed Mammoth | 39c | 148.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked Mammoth | 24c | 145.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Mammoth | 47c | 139.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Knights | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Knights | 62c | 118.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Knights | 49c | 116.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Knights | 56c | 113.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Mammoth | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Knights | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Knights | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Knights | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Mammoth | 47c | 93.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Knights | 57c | 88.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Mammoth | 38c | 85.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Mammoth | 38c | 83.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Knights | 61c | 78.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Mammoth | 24c | 61.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Mammoth | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Mammoth | 69c | 41.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…c943backed Mammoth | 43c | 39.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Mammoth | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Mammoth | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Knights | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Knights | 60c | 31.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Knights | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Knights | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Knights | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…b937backed Mammoth | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…7278backed Knights | 80c | 21.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.