Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic beat Dinamo Zagreb?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907f282b2f1a534afb7337f9d2bda4a2e08c1b7180ad5cf3c69945345716bc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 48c | 5,485$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.17 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 53c | 4,950$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.86 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 48c | 2,345$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.39 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 52c | 2,287$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.39 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.51 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 7c | 946.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 48c | 855.77$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…6396backed No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 41cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 182.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 50c | 150.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 50c | 131.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 48c | 128.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 44c | 122.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…44d3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…71e3backed Yes | 56c | 41.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 46c | 36.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked No | 50c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…900abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4971backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic beat Dinamo Zagreb?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Celtic?No won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.