Champions League · resolved market
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Celtic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f03839cc51b3e8a3fc13f89a88dd6f2f71294d2094db16cf0035b77767d99bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 75c | 1,853$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 77c | 1,820$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.72 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 75c | 619$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 74c | 488.85$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 316.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 75c | 285$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 10c | 190.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 167$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 23c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…b543backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…ba0bbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…afbfbacked No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…8c4fbacked No | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Celtic?this page
- Will Celtic beat Dinamo Zagreb?No won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.