Premier League · resolved market
Will Czechia win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c1862a9286d6767741ac56845a88329224beed4b5cb4fa4e8204f9d961d2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 46c | 1,135$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 46c | 1,056$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,026$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 43c | 849.2$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.04 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 56c | 536.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 56c | 235$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…76b5backed Yes | 55c | 149.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 56c | 143.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes | 56c | 141$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…8b57backed Yes | 55c | 123.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…6217backed No | 44c | 116.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 44c | 110.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed No | 48c | 107.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…eacdbacked Yes | 26c | 105.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 56c | 99.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…c707backed No | 45c | 98.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…7834backed Yes | 52c | 98.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 53c | 83.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 52c | 77.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes | 62c | 64.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…81e3backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1df…fac5backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b67backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…d714backed No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…5ff5backed No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…285bbacked Yes | 53c | 39.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 67c | 37.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…674bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…bad0backed Yes | 63c | 33.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…9361backed No | 78c | 32.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 56c | 30.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 44c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…290cbacked Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…98dbbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2b5dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…442abacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia win?this page
- Will Georgia win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.