Premier League · resolved market
Will Slovakia win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd379496a6146d693c189c36a1ea3170e97bda0fb980cc99917e12cc15898f6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c3d…1c99backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 72c | 1,174$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 71c | 741.51$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…c2ebbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…8707backed Yes | 29c | 268.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 74c | 97.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…9be6backed Yes | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…9d0cbacked No | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…7834backed Yes | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…40fcbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…2b69backed No | 75c | 40.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b67backed Yes | 63c | 39.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…171ebacked Yes | 30c | 37.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…934dbacked Yes | 32c | 36.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…6636backed No | 73c | 35.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…3a58backed Yes | 31c | 33.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…f1f3backed No | 73c | 32.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…d714backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 61c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia win?this page
- Will Ukraine win?Yes won
- Will the match be a draw? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.