Premier League · resolved market
Will France win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483ce87de7e9edc8e7ffbd2763f2bb8b7999e73db4e6ce8a86aa1bca1eabcdae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 65c | 30,973$20,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 36c | 11,938$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.47 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed No | 35c | 5,555$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 3,151$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.17 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…c0b8backed Yes | 71c | 1,398$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 37c | 1,244$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.45 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 37c | 1,125$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…94bbbacked Yes | 63c | 795.11$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 64c | 662.66$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 63c | 649.21$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed No | 21c | 520.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes | 63c | 329.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 64c | 280.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 63c | 277.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed Yes | 78c | 198.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 77c | 191.46$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…9249backed Yes | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…bdc4backed Yes | 64c | 177.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…b637backed Yes | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…5adabacked Yes | 63c | 148$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 63c | 110.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…5286backed Yes | 64c | 82.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…1487backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…4cc5backed Yes | 71c | 69.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked Yes | 61c | 67.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Yes | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed Yes | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…0de6backed Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…cb7ebacked Yes | 64c | 37.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…f09abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…594bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 37c | 30.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…7081backed Yes | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…5ff5backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Yes | 64c | 27.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc890…5721backed Yes | 63c | 25.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…efe0backed Yes | 64c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ade8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…5ae1backed Yes | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…2632backed Yes | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…fbfabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…8571backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win?this page
- Will Austria win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.