NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687855e3e183b08aa0d9423a8d01179e82b8fbeb1736ddf5971a2f8c7715d5de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Bulls, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 19,981$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340.62 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bulls | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Bulls | 53c | 11,057$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bulls | 50c | 6,066$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.21 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,308$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,132$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.5 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bulls | 47c | 2,788$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.31 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Bulls | 51c | 2,036$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.41 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,378$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.87 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Bulls | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 48c | 867.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bulls | 47c | 827.44$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 664.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Bulls | 51c | 570.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Bulls | 47c | 565.81$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 547.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Bulls | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Bulls | 51c | 238.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 53c | 155.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 151$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 95.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Bulls | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 79.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 79.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Bulls | 47c | 74.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Bulls | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Bulls | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Bulls | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Bulls | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 48.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Bulls | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Bulls | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…843ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Bulls | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Bulls | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Bulls | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Bulls | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Bulls | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…db64backed Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail BlazersBulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.