NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a9486923a4ad184c30337d6c08fa5f62c77eaa4cc9365381e1d12a989e38d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 3,181$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.31 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,335$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Under | 50c | 759.62$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.81 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 47c | 433$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 48c | 308$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 208.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…858bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 53c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…8f80backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 45.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…2be4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 51c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…67e2backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…dbd2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…3b9dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail BlazersBulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.