NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9977b51431a28d8e42bf8db906fff2f12846a396315416d3a0b103aae74507e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Bulls, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,933$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,875$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,353$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 54c | 820$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 54c | 558.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 545$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Bulls | 56c | 493.4$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Bulls | 55c | 432.92$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Bulls | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 209.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 204.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Bulls | 57c | 176.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 112.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Bulls | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 60.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Bulls | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Bulls | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail BlazersBulls won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.