South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb84cf019b92fc6475d399a27a52ac2f118106277dcc83ccb4459dde343bc2ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 15c | 4,359$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.88 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 3,940$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 3,842$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.27 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 3,746$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.76 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 2,932$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 40c | 2,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 2,233$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.21 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,031$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3e33backed Yes | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…b1e3backed No | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…cb57backed No | 64c | 598.06$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 41c | 488.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…461bbacked Yes | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 67c | 274.32$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2369…a1d0backed No | 62c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 60c | 211.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7db8backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…d8e6backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 72.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will EC Juventude vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.