South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b98113f972ce76ded81a68a4be522eb58de67485859abc5204c89a583d4de06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 29c | 4,709$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.15 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 67c | 4,625$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.8 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 2,873$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.52 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 893.98$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.1 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 595.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 533.22$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 34c | 399.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 361$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 47c | 221.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 67c | 204.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 202.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 64c | 116.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 37c | 72.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…d66cbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…d2d8backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…5974backed Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will EC Juventude vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.