Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca94504ee73501d61d724182a0c6d286bfc8f2d845b3a6c5d3d09bc2562bdd0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe319…8f82backed Yes | 31c | 6,460$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…d73cbacked No | 69c | 4,202$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…d4f7backed Yes | 31c | 3,555$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…b351backed No | 69c | 2,901$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked No | 69c | 2,900$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 1,503$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 77c | 1,119$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 3c | 1,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 396.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 24c | 329$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…1265backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…23a4backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 249$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…0ff9backed No | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…a5fcbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 111.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 97.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 30c | 49.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…3e50backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 25.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…b42cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.