Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ebe615358f20813840a1bd387a631afe98e7840da314a33dc38cbe02ebf6b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 5,134$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.73 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 34c | 4,192$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,519$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 2,313$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.34 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 35c | 2,282$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…332abacked Yes | 33c | 1,531$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked No | 68c | 1,530$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 1,472$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,364$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.65 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,196$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 4c | 880.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…f945backed Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked No | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 380.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 346.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 68c | 299.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 33c | 187.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 67c | 169.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 163.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 13c | 151.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 34c | 123.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked No | 70c | 57.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…6454backed Yes | 32c | 43.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 32c | 39.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…1f13backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…b1b3backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 76c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.