South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7cc701502fcb4775863029d76be229f8b827f66b24b66f4b6cc87cdf2c7414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes | 33c | 45,809$15,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,106.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 30,682$21,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,538.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 25,243$17,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,813.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 5,933$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.52 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 5,558$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.79 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 4,115$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.94 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 2,382$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.12 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 30c | 2,270$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.3 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 1,519$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.03 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 71c | 1,477$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed Yes | 29c | 1,475$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 71c | 1,455$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,115$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.62 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 1,076$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 1,019$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked No | 67c | 897.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 28c | 845.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 30c | 780$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 29c | 726.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 507$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 67c | 504$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 57c | 465$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed No | 70c | 437.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 37c | 418.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 417.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 396.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 31c | 377.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 30c | 349.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 67c | 343.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 30c | 209.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 71c | 203.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 172.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 72c | 169$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 136.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 66c | 105.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 72.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 70.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 29c | 68.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 29c | 56.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 39c | 51.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 69c | 43.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 71c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…cc3ebacked Yes | 31c | 35.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 73c | 35.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked No | 71c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 73c | 33.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 35c | 28.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…9b49backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 69c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked No | 71c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.