Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42151fac409d9f063c5f2830a28a507ecf687a959b8952b4cb9eb0aad9d6d602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 38c | 10,431$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 7,728$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.45 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 940.36$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 683.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 181.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 21c | 150.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 40c | 139.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…975fbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…97a4backed Yes | 23c | 54.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will NEC vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.