NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1ddb5c35277ce1da7ac31fa62f508cdff27215c908846b58e3842dbc69f8dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Wizards, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 68c | 2,945$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…57f8backed Wizards | 36c | 2,780$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Wizards | 34c | 1,899$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 64c | 1,883$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.88 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 11c | 1,700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pistons | 68c | 870.83$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Wizards | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pistons | 66c | 713$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Wizards | 29c | 690.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Pistons | 73c | 638.5$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Pistons | 77c | 636.81$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 27c | 596.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pistons | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Wizards | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wizards | 41c | 370.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 11c | 363.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 27c | 319.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 10c | 299.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 70c | 293.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 66c | 291.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Wizards | 32c | 288.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 64c | 254$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Pistons | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Wizards | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 17c | 212.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wizards | 26c | 150.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wizards | 28c | 140.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…f60cbacked Pistons | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Pistons | 60c | 117.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Pistons | 67c | 109.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Wizards | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Pistons | 77c | 89.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Pistons | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Wizards | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Wizards | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Wizards | 40c | 68.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Wizards | 39c | 68.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Pistons | 75c | 66.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Pistons | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pistons | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5347…36a5backed Pistons | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Wizards | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wizards | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 25c | 46.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Wizards | 31c | 38.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…1458backed Pistons | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Pistons | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Pistons | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…1fe5backed Pistons | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a22fbacked Pistons | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Pistons | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…2bfabacked Pistons | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…6290backed Pistons | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…3be8backed Pistons | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pistonsthis page
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.