Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a46a05e482a1d0ab4f872e8183d81f810ce719202916a663633b65ae283f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 76c | 6,750$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 2,458$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,568$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 15c | 1,466$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 16c | 1,155$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 24c | 835.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 50c | 832$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 14c | 713.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 59c | 694$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 12c | 339.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 188.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed No | 24c | 102.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 15c | 66.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 32.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked Yes | 58c | 21.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Bahrain win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Morocco vs. Bahrain end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.