Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco vs. Bahrain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737c2b2622c0b47c0ae686d24f5e775328792438d3aeb39c154e95730a107370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 27c | 6,382$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.19 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 73c | 5,917$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…99bebacked Yes | 70c | 1,762$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 30c | 1,212$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked Yes | 9c | 1,150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 638.42$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 30c | 534.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.7 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 30c | 363.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.46 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 61c | 260.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…4506backed Yes | 71c | 201.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 189$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 54c | 184.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 57c | 178.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 159.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Yes | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 46c | 111.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…9575backed Yes | 79c | 68.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…2641backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…834bbacked Yes | 69c | 56.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed No | 31c | 51.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…b906backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 30.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco vs. Bahrain end in a draw?this page
- Will Bahrain win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Morocco win on 2025-10-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.