La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51957460aeafdc44ff72f1069294e28df0a77b941de5c6cd32825befbdaba20e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 70,154$24,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,549.06 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 36,146$23,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,447.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 25,678$16,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,002.13 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 5,603$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.83 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 21c | 1,912$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,749$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.83 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed No | 68c | 959.55$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 63c | 778.9$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.63 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 33c | 775$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 32c | 733.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 66c | 599.93$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 467$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 31c | 420.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…e02fbacked Yes | 32c | 310.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 74c | 271.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 18c | 187.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…fcedbacked Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b0b1backed No | 67c | 180$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 163.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 34c | 118.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 66c | 109.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 32c | 96.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 83.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 30c | 76.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…b83fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…7708backed Yes | 34c | 38.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 33c | 36.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e02abacked Yes | 35c | 34.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 33.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 66c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…d7c5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…cc5fbacked No | 67c | 17.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…b78dbacked No | 67c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.