TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes38c3,950$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.411656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No75c2,285$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.1227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c2,083$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.153,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No64c1,922$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes29c1,701$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.951369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes36c1,270$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.325841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c1,103$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.0424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes39c1,090$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes76c1,063$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No47c1,044$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.8830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No67c895.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes35c767.61$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6126242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No6c763.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.115143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c746.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.444,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c720$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes33c699.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.998521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c504$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No65c499.98$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.997953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No7c487.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.244344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes72c419.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.496950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2646331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No13c340.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes35c308.32$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.631872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No27c279.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62055%11 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes25c266.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.673138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Yes33c207.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.713455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes30c180$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No72c169$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6810063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c164.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c160.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No39c159.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes73c136.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.782373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes35c127.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8311947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes35c117.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.868261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No50c113.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2117155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1111249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes30c106.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.426641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bc…a344backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes31c76.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes73c75.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.341838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-42.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8617744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No63c73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9915851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes36c72.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.227255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2705…3a60backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6675…f46fbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No64c55.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No65c52.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.448961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.722744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe7…2dbcbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee40…a72ebacked Yes36c44.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.863554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa520…e1a2backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No79c40.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.542330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No64c35.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5715750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No64c34.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.168552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba16…d417backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No64c33.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed No66c30.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No64c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No64c21.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.