Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50efedec81d93244fd01e2d1d03a1ba75e4ebe5d0c77aeafe174568ecda340c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 71c | 1,732$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.81 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 30c | 1,364$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.28 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 849$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 562.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Saski Baskonia | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Saski Baskonia | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 422.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saski Baskonia | 31c | 378.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saski Baskonia | 28c | 306.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 258.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 248.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Saski Baskonia | 32c | 218$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia | 33c | 160.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Saski Baskonia | 33c | 104.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Saski Baskonia | 16c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 84.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 32c | 77.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 34.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3e…4382backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0bbfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.