Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Nepal vs UAE (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80ea1d30f3391482b3b4987959ac77b214a121d578d113854dfb45061c45e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Nepal, UAE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed UAE | 1c | 4,741$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nepal | 51c | 3,476$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.91 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed UAE | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed UAE | 9c | 2,160$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…79eabacked Nepal | 38c | 653$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Nepal | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f6b2backed UAE | 32c | 595.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed UAE | 38c | 532.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nepal | 58c | 453.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nepal | 62c | 380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 438 | 44.5%195 W · 243 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked UAE | 62c | 327$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed UAE | 62c | 326$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed UAE | 30c | 233.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked UAE | 35c | 211.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nepal | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed UAE | 40c | 197.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Nepal | 61c | 180.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked UAE | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Nepal | 65c | 143$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Nepal | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked UAE | 59c | 121.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…e84cbacked Nepal | 71c | 113.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…62a0backed UAE | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Nepal | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 300 | 32.7%98 W · 202 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed UAE | 26c | 79.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…ecffbacked UAE | 40c | 75.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked UAE | 67c | 75.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Nepal | 72c | 70.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…592fbacked Nepal | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nepal | 63c | 55.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…e558backed Nepal | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Nepal | 63c | 33.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nepal | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed UAE | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb7…fad8backed Nepal | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Nepal | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.