F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899382d6f06a09d45287dfb1f63e0344d3459c56aedb39fb7f23662378c722ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 5,504$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 47c | 3,403$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.58 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 29c | 3,032$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,847$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.01 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 80c | 2,378$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,019$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.48 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 46c | 1,914$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 1,027$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.25 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 21c | 1,016$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.42 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.03 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 983.25$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 10c | 882.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 1c | 849.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 23c | 831.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…9436backed Yes | 20c | 739.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…d937backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 38c | 448.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.23 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 28c | 440.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 43c | 281.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 14c | 214.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 20c | 204.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 194.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 174.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 7c | 164.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 57c | 131.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…e5aabacked Yes | 34c | 117$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…248ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 93.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Yes | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 21c | 70.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb661…2990backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 51c | 51.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c3…2da0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…c15bbacked Yes | 41c | 47.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…21febacked Yes | 58c | 45.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…f056backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…f756backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 57c | 26.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…04e1backed Yes | 46c | 24.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 52c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…a9d7backed Yes | 50c | 20.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.