Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e2b34cbd7c18c21101ceac9ed0d1f590cc431497cd87454e075c873d84318c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Stanford Cardinal, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 3,296$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 1,182$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 1,040$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 806.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 670.6$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 558.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 499.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 58c | 485.41$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 462.34$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami Hurricanes | 80c | 446.55$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 53c | 401.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 384$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 344$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Miami Hurricanes | 41c | 338.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 327$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Miami Hurricanes | 78c | 306.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Hurricanes | 58c | 260$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 258.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Stanford Cardinal | 54c | 223.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Miami Hurricanes | 70c | 201.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…5bf9backed Miami Hurricanes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 195$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 156$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 119.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 98.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 86.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Stanford Cardinal | 62c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Miami Hurricanes | 41c | 72.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 62.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Miami Hurricanes | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 41c | 42.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 37.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanesthis page
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.