UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Javid Basharat vs. Gianni Vazquez (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7664510655efbb0d63ee7897ef55effb2c9c94a51bc4960680676069af7988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basharatof Basharat, Vazquez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Vazquez | 32c | 19,270$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.93 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Basharat | 69c | 10,000$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.38 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Basharat | 65c | 7,461$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.01 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Basharat | 67c | 3,692$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Vazquez | 13c | 2,341$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Vazquez | 17c | 2,135$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.89 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Vazquez | 1c | 1,955$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vazquez | 23c | 1,696$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.97 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Basharat | 75c | 1,680$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Vazquez | 17c | 1,389$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Basharat | 66c | 1,171$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.14 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Vazquez | 32c | 934.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Basharat | 74c | 932.18$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Vazquez | 14c | 892.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Vazquez | 5c | 800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Vazquez | 18c | 790$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Vazquez | 14c | 739.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Vazquez | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vazquez | 18c | 579.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Vazquez | 3c | 384.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…5f25backed Vazquez | 12c | 342.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Vazquez | 14c | 320$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Basharat | 75c | 307.7$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Vazquez | 16c | 282.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Vazquez | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Vazquez | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vazquez | 18c | 197.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…5d4dbacked Vazquez | 12c | 181.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Vazquez | 40c | 159$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…a6d8backed Vazquez | 33c | 155.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Vazquez | 26c | 152.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Vazquez | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed Vazquez | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Vazquez | 33c | 146.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vazquez | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Vazquez | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…f567backed Vazquez | 23c | 130.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Vazquez | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Vazquez | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Basharat | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Vazquez | 32c | 100.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Vazquez | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Vazquez | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Vazquez | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Vazquez | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…262bbacked Vazquez | 18c | 95.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Basharat | 76c | 91.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Vazquez | 40c | 91.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Vazquez | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Vazquez | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Basharat | 72c | 64.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…ea80backed Vazquez | 23c | 63.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vazquez | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Basharat | 75c | 54.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Vazquez | 32c | 53.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vazquez | 26c | 52.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Basharat | 67c | 52.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Basharat | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Vazquez | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Basharat | 71c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Basharat | 78c | 33.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Vazquez | 36c | 31.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…c956backed Basharat | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Vazquez | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…ff47backed Basharat | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Basharat | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Javid Basharat vs. Gianni Vazquez (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Javid Basharat win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.