Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb151cf1bb9a029d19f927944179052685be936b2db3748393ae0b5dc1748a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 5c | 9,302$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.62 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 2,145$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked No | 36c | 1,466$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 41c | 1,126$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.87 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 3c | 1,003$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 3c | 969$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 717.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 42c | 646.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 623.9$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 550.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 13c | 428.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 14c | 420.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 239.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…ed97backed No | 60c | 210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…d29abacked Yes | 40c | 208$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4402…a273backed Yes | 40c | 206$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…ba57backed No | 60c | 204$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…1f67backed No | 59c | 201$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…07c1backed Yes | 41c | 201$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…746dbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…287abacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 190.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked No | 58c | 172.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…cb72backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…3519backed No | 14c | 143.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 18c | 128.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 41c | 122.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 42c | 95.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 83.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 61c | 81.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed No | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 22c | 51.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 64c | 31.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…213ebacked Yes | 59c | 27.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 17.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.