Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa23269ac3a60c1c365d01740b1fb0616a2f99733e85b3298ba32a6978d69fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed S2G Esports | 0c | 19,159$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Misa Esports | 78c | 12,527$9,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.86 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked S2G Esports | 20c | 4,029$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.15 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed S2G Esports | 22c | 2,787$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.22 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed S2G Esports | 22c | 1,598$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Misa Esports | 79c | 1,569$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked S2G Esports | 22c | 1,146$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…fa2ebacked S2G Esports | 11c | 991.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed S2G Esports | 31c | 930$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed S2G Esports | 22c | 751.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed S2G Esports | 31c | 742$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…7e8ebacked S2G Esports | 31c | 735$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed S2G Esports | 31c | 704$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…e1babacked S2G Esports | 31c | 676$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked S2G Esports | 19c | 675.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed S2G Esports | 31c | 664$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed S2G Esports | 22c | 660.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…7b5cbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 630$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked S2G Esports | 22c | 617.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked S2G Esports | 22c | 604.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed S2G Esports | 21c | 512.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Misa Esports | 79c | 506.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed S2G Esports | 22c | 499.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Misa Esports | 69c | 476$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…12e5backed Misa Esports | 69c | 446$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Misa Esports | 69c | 436$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…fa4cbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 413$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked S2G Esports | 22c | 397.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 354$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Misa Esports | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports | 22c | 339.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Misa Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Misa Esports | 69c | 299$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Misa Esports | 69c | 296$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed S2G Esports | 13c | 290$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…af81backed S2G Esports | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50c…83edbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Misa Esports | 75c | 264.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Misa Esports | 69c | 263$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked S2G Esports | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked S2G Esports | 9c | 195.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked S2G Esports | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed S2G Esports | 21c | 190.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed S2G Esports | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…7bb4backed Misa Esports | 69c | 188$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed S2G Esports | 20c | 175.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…0a59backed S2G Esports | 14c | 152.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked S2G Esports | 25c | 149.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 130.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked S2G Esports | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked S2G Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked S2G Esports | 22c | 93.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed S2G Esports | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed S2G Esports | 22c | 84.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked S2G Esports | 23c | 49.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Misa Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Misa Esports | 80c | 26.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Misa Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Misa Esports | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed Misa Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Misa Esports | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…6431backed Misa Esports | 79c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bthis page
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.