CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21dddfc1181511a81b4281b3f1a1ec697d2964246bb0bc1ddee75bd93f3f7ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HAVU | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 48c | 1,140$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…d74fbacked HAVU | 20c | 901.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 507.69$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 36c | 500.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 489.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 234.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 165.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 116.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked HAVU | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked HAVU | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 68.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 64.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 60.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 48c | 45.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed HAVU | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 27.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.