Lol · resolved market
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef047db73efc479cfe22248f79b6170a1fa797f36df498aa32ffd2c5ac7590c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lille Esportof Esprit Shōnen, Lille Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Esprit Shōnen | 70c | 20,000$13,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,975.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lille Esport | 30c | 14,920$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,443.76 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 2,876$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.06 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lille Esport | 64c | 2,700$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.7 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lille Esport | 32c | 1,622$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.22 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 1,522$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.21 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Lille Esport | 52c | 1,398$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.62 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Esprit Shōnen | 1c | 1,363$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.52 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Lille Esport | 65c | 1,132$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Esprit Shōnen | 67c | 1,003$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.49 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…4247backed Esprit Shōnen | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 0%0 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Lille Esport | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Lille Esport | 30c | 973.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.33 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Lille Esport | 30c | 910$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 733.3$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Lille Esport | 45c | 668.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.73 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Lille Esport | 30c | 663$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.98 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Esprit Shōnen | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Lille Esport | 34c | 591.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Lille Esport | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 478.33$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Lille Esport | 30c | 450$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 410$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 377.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 340$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Lille Esport | 35c | 327$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.03 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Lille Esport | 30c | 301.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Esprit Shōnen | 33c | 300.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Lille Esport | 30c | 277.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…0fb0backed Lille Esport | 68c | 276.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lille Esport | 30c | 246.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Lille Esport | 69c | 218.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Lille Esport | 33c | 201$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Lille Esport | 30c | 200.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Lille Esport | 32c | 196.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked Lille Esport | 33c | 196.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Lille Esport | 30c | 190$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Lille Esport | 30c | 190$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Esprit Shōnen | 17c | 163.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 162.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 153.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Lille Esport | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Lille Esport | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Lille Esport | 34c | 136.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Lille Esport | 30c | 133.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…4ac7backed Lille Esport | 50c | 129.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Lille Esport | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Lille Esport | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Esprit Shōnen | 60c | 100.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Esprit Shōnen | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Lille Esport | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Esprit Shōnen | 67c | 83.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lille Esport | 35c | 73.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Esprit Shōnen | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Lille Esport | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Lille Esport | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Lille Esport | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Esprit Shōnen | 58c | 57.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lille Esport | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…2398backed Lille Esport | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed Lille Esport | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Lille Esport | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Lille Esport | 68c | 39.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Lille Esport | 33c | 36.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Esprit Shōnen | 44c | 30.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…53a0backed Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 20.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.