Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves GC vs Blue Otter GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b3e2af5ce5d445f2e2bd57e495a8719c9c2a7e54cf9eefc21d8dba63068595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otter GCof 100 Thieves GC, Blue Otter GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed 100 Thieves GC | 48c | 611.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Otter GC | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed 100 Thieves GC | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed 100 Thieves GC | 50c | 199.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Blue Otter GC | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Blue Otter GC | 49c | 126.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Blue Otter GC | 49c | 114.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Blue Otter GC | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Blue Otter GC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Blue Otter GC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Blue Otter GC | 61c | 49.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 100 Thieves GC | 39c | 43.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Blue Otter GC | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Otter GC | 50c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.