CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00c8814d9273c19f5a6bd6e79bf37bc2b9e101ebda28e815c36c1bfab99abd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Imperial, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sharks | 63c | 1,474$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.15 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Imperial | 32c | 1,407$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked Imperial | 29c | 811.78$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks | 65c | 808.38$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.38 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 75c | 738.85$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 69c | 613.3$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…17c4backed Imperial | 37c | 478$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sharks | 63c | 408.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Imperial | 38c | 395.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Imperial | 36c | 331.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Sharks | 65c | 308.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Sharks | 66c | 271.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Imperial | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 39c | 250.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Imperial | 37c | 245.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Sharks | 60c | 208.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sharks | 75c | 208.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Imperial | 38c | 202.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sharks | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Sharks | 56c | 185$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Imperial | 37c | 181$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 31c | 180.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Imperial | 36c | 156$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Imperial | 44c | 138.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…d50abacked Imperial | 44c | 133.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Imperial | 38c | 132.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Imperial | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Imperial | 38c | 100.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Sharks | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Imperial | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Imperial | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Imperial | 42c | 99.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 62c | 90.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked Sharks | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Imperial | 27c | 75.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Imperial | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…00d8backed Imperial | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed Imperial | 18c | 58.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Imperial | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sharks | 68c | 51.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b795backed Sharks | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Imperial | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Imperial | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Sharks | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Imperial | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sharks | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Sharks | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Imperial | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb689…a3aebacked Sharks | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…8891backed Sharks | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Imperial | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…7b25backed Sharks | 71c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sharks | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sharks | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.