CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82916735e76c148e1d4f97bb3584424ae18891807e27c9d9a1b96e0de5e68e7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Imperial | 50c | 1,735$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.12 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sharks | 59c | 1,343$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.29 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 45c | 695$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Imperial | 51c | 570.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Sharks | 52c | 203.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Sharks | 59c | 169.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Imperial | 45c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…01aabacked Sharks | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Imperial | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Imperial | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sharks | 49c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Sharks | 49c | 24.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 PlayoffsSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.