CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca300a14ebdb4400da96e590899204c9cc5e7909d38f91ffd6b997d1741b878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof BOSS, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MASONIC | 50c | 986.01$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.85 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MASONIC | 57c | 951.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.56 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed BOSS | 48c | 765$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MASONIC | 51c | 417.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed BOSS | 50c | 350$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BOSS | 50c | 350$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MASONIC | 51c | 336.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed BOSS | 51c | 314.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed MASONIC | 54c | 254.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BOSS | 35c | 230.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MASONIC | 53c | 223.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked BOSS | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed BOSS | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed BOSS | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BOSS | 51c | 147.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed BOSS | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed BOSS | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MASONIC | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked BOSS | 49c | 77.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked MASONIC | 55c | 63.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked BOSS | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked BOSS | 45c | 49.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed BOSS | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BOSS | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked BOSS | 38c | 33.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked BOSS | 43c | 32.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BOSS | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked BOSS | 44c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed BOSS | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.