CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ab2ce4629c36b2bf27a87129d4fdcb498bcac43e0c61bc77dccb49288c0a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed AM Gaming | 38c | 1,812$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.24 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 63c | 1,569$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked AM Gaming | 60c | 1,520$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.29 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 412.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Lazer Cats | 67c | 362.04$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed AM Gaming | 61c | 324.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 272.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lazer Cats | 44c | 272.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked AM Gaming | 31c | 262.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed AM Gaming | 61c | 210.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Lazer Cats | 38c | 207$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Lazer Cats | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 128.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 109.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AM Gaming | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Lazer Cats | 41c | 96.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 93.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked AM Gaming | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lazer Cats | 36c | 89.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed AM Gaming | 56c | 71.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…45f0backed Lazer Cats | 65c | 67.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…8159backed Lazer Cats | 77c | 58.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Lazer Cats | 41c | 51.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed Lazer Cats | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Lazer Cats | 35c | 43.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked AM Gaming | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed AM Gaming | 38c | 32.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AM Gaming | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 25.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed AM Gaming | 59c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.