Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9477eedeb9204e37ebb7d21197cc740dd452a7e300c849104e8815159fd3857a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Contra, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Contra | 64c | 1,192$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.12 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed LAZER | 39c | 406$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LAZER | 43c | 281$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LAZER | 51c | 259.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed LAZER | 45c | 251$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Contra | 49c | 187.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Contra | 70c | 170.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAZER | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed LAZER | 51c | 157.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…ea42backed LAZER | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…af18backed LAZER | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LAZER | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Contra | 49c | 101.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Contra | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…96d5backed Contra | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…9a65backed Contra | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…5245backed Contra | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed LAZER | 31c | 69.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…6d96backed Contra | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…556ebacked LAZER | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Contra | 49c | 65.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…c3a3backed Contra | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Contra | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Contra | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…e01dbacked Contra | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 1 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 2 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.